External risk

Regulatory risk

Increasingly stringent emissions standards represent major technological challenges for the DEUTZ Group that could have a negative impact on its financial position and financial performance. Specifically, emissions limits for engines in mobile machinery and agricultural applications have been made significantly tougher since 2011. The EU Stage IV emissions standard came into force in Europe during 2014. In the USA the comparable US Tier 4 emissions standard for engines with power outputs of between 130kW and 560kW has applied since early 2014. Restrictions for smaller engines with power outputs from 56kW to 130kW will follow in 2015. These tougher standards will require additional optimisation of engines, engine management systems and exhaust aftertreatment systems to achieve both lower fuel consumption and increased engine power, with the result that overall systems will become much more complex. Both the complexity of the technology and the tight timescales in which to comply with the new emissions standards represent a challenge for the Group. Delays in the development of our products with regard to the new emissions legislation could, for example, lead to higher than planned start-up costs, which would have a negative impact on earnings.

To mitigate these regulatory risks, DEUTZ has defined a detailed product development process and implemented it as the standard process for all projects in which new engines are developed or existing ones refined. Mandatory standards and procedures apply at each phase of a product’s development, thereby ensuring that projects remain within budget and on schedule. The product development process also includes systematic cooperation with our suppliers and close collaboration with our customers in order to optimally incorporate customer requirements into products and minimise technological risks throughout the value chain. In addition, DEUTZ invests in research and preliminary development as well as carrying out pioneering work with universities and research institutes to develop technology concepts that meet the requirements of the future.

In view of the measures that have been implemented, we categorise the regulatory risks with regard to the financial position and financial performance of the Group as ‘low’.

Political and social risk

Because of our global presence we are exposed to dangers that may result from the political and social situation in our target markets – particularly in the emerging markets. Certain events could, for example, lead to us not being able to continue business activities at our sites or use our established sales channels. Conceivably this could also have a negative impact on relations with our partners and their willingness to make capital investments.

We have taken precautions within the Group to minimise these risks as far as possible. As well as reviewing alternative business strategies we also believe it is essential to maintain contact with the appropriate authorities.

In view of the precautionary measures that are in place, we categorise the political and social risks for the attainment of our financial targets as ‘low’.

Market risk

We operate in sales markets that are characterised by particular sensitivity to cyclical influences. This can have a negative impact on the financial position and financial performance of the DEUTZ Group. As well as having a direct effect on unit sales and revenue, this may also impact negatively on the value of the assets on our balance sheet. We operate in very cyclical markets in our main application segment, Mobile Machinery, and in our principal sales regions of Germany, western Europe and North America. Our objective is to continue to reduce this cyclicality from a regional and application segment perspective. One of the ways in which we are doing so is by continuing to focus further efforts on expanding our Agricultural Machinery application segment, as it follows a different economic cycle to the other application segments.

In the medium and long term, we seek to mitigate regional and application-related sales risks by aligning our development activities with our product strategy and by entering into alliances. Close alliances with key customers such as AB Volvo, AGCO and SAME DEUTZ-FAHR are of considerable importance in enabling us to achieve these sales targets.

We are very well diversified and well positioned for the future in terms of the geographical and sectoral distribution of our customers. We supply the market-leading manufacturers in the various application segments. Despite the countermeasures that are in place, we cannot completely control the external risks. We therefore continue to categorise the market risk as ‘moderate’. In particular, the very uncertain economic outlook for 2015 could have a negative impact on the attainment of our financial targets.

Download center
  • fileadmin/14_GB/PDF_EN/DEUTZ_AG_AR2014_combined_management_report_risk_report_external_risk.pdf
  • Download center (0)